Friday, June 13, 2014

Of scams, corruption and policies

Yesterday, when I was listening to the speech by the new Prime Minister of India in the parliament, I caught this phrase used by him - "We must change the image of India from 'Scam India' to 'Skilled India'." I started wondering what exactly triggered this image of "Scam India" in people's minds? The CAG reports?

The earliest such instance of a CAG report being used to brand something as a scam extensively by the media was the 2G scam. The number 1760000000000 became the buzz word. The CAG reported that this was the loss to the exchequer based on some assumptions and extrapolations from the 3G spectrum which was auctioned a few months after the 2G spectrum was given away. Since then many such "scams" and the accompanying multi-zero figures became the latest fad in the media and dinner table discussion topics of the disgruntled Indian household. Similarly many SEZ policies like the Adani land deal and the controversy surrounding the soft loan given to Tata in Gujarat have made headlines and have been heavily criticized of late. The question is, is it so simple to just measure such policies on mere face value? Let me tell you a story. 



In a forgotten land, far far away there is a kingdom, which has a benevolent king. There are 500 families living in that kingdom and all are agriculturists, owning on an average, one acre of land. The agriculture there is monsoon based, and the land is also not all that fertile. The families can feed themselves and lead a decent life only if the monsoons are alright. If the monsoons fail, the families would have to live in hunger, in poverty. Unfortunately, for the past 3 years, the monsoons have failed and there is abject penury in the kingdom. The families are finding it hard to arrange even one square meal a day for themselves. 

In such a desperate time, along comes an industrialist with a proposal to the king. He says, "I want to start a toothpaste factory. I have studied the market and I feel it would be quite a profitable business. But, the problem is I do not have enough money to start a factory. I have talked to the banks and they have told me they would provide me some loans. But the loan money would at best be enough to bring in the infrastructure and build a factory. I do not have the money to buy land at the current price here in your kingdom. For the 300 acres of land I need, I can offer only 30 lakhs per acre, as against the market price of 1 crore. Look, if you could somehow arrange the land for starting my factory, I shall make sure that I shall employ 250 odd people from your kingdom, pay them enough so that they and their families can have three meals a day comfortably. As and when my profits go up I shall accordingly increase their salaries too. Instead of people living in fear of monsoon failures and famines, this could be a steady source of income for them. Only if you could somehow arrange for the land..."

The king ponders over it. He thinks about his people living a life in despair, living with the hope that atleast the next year, the monsoon gods would smile at them. But what if the monsoon fails again? One can never be sure of the monsoons, can he? The industrialist here is making an offer where atleast some of his people would be guaranteed of a decent, if not luxurious, life. And the cost of it would be the Government bearing the loss of 70 lakhs per acre for 300 acres - the deficit which it would have to pay the families to get their land. 

What do you think the king should do? Ask the industrialist to come back only when he has enough money to buy the land? Or should he go ahead and grant the industrialist the land he requires, suffering a loss to the treasury and incur the wrath of the CAG?




Let us for one instant assume that the 2G spectrum was in fact auctioned for that high amount which CAG predicted. Do you think the telecom companies are charity organisations to let go of the extra 1760000000000? The real payment of this money would have been from us, the customers. And if we had failed to cough up that money the telecom industry would have gone on a downward spiral. People would have lost jobs. Government would have lost revenues, from both the income taxes from the people who lost jobs, and the tax on revenues from the telecom companies itself. Not a pretty scenario, right?

The price wars which were started by Uninor and MTS immediately after they got licenses are a thing of past. Now we have telecom companies retrench prices, under the attractive garb of 1 paisa per second calls. The ultimate losers of this are us, customers. And as it turns out, the CAG was a little too overboard in its estimation, and the auctioning of 2G wasn't very successful. 3G too hasn't taken off particularly well in India because of the steep pricing which is a direct result of the high prices paid by the telecom companies to obtain the 3G spectrum.

The point I'm trying to make is, one must stop wishing that the Government should be run like a profit making organisation, where in it extracts every last ounce of price from the properties it possesses. Government must always look at whether its policies and decisions benefit the people and the country short term and/or long term. Any "scam" like the 2G one, the Adani land deal, the Tata loan etc must be looked through this prism, and not just at face value which the CAG tends to do. We must avoid jumping into the bandwagon of the irresponsible trumpeting of media and start thinking and finding out things by ourselves before forming an opinion.

Friday, June 6, 2014

Mangalyaan


I've been wanting to write this piece on Mangalyaan for quite some time. After long bouts of laziness and procrastination, I've finally managed to make a decent fist of it, hopefully.

When the Mangalyaan was launched, I came across many reactions (of course, mainly on facebook), ranging from extreme happiness and pride, to outright disgust at the amount of money being "wasted" on useless missions. This post is about my views on this - the views which have been helped by rigorous discussions with my omniscient friend Vinit.

Mission Mangalyaan

Mangalyaan, ISRO's ambitious space mission to Mars was launched on November 5, 2013. The objective of this mission is to send a satellite (the Mars Orbiter) to orbit Mars which shall "explore Mars' surface features, morphology, mineralogy and Martian atmosphere", especially the presence of methane in Martian atmosphere. It is believed that methane is predominantly produced by living objects, and hence the presence of methane in Martian atmosphere would lead us to believe that there is a high probability of the presence of living organisms (and also oil?) in the area where methane is found.

The Mangalyaan is not yet a qualified success, and only the "easier" part, the part which ISRO has enough experience in, has been successfully carried out. The results of the "difficult" part where the Mars Orbiter was given a thrust on December 1 2013 to make it escape earth's gravitational influence and start towards Mars' orbit are still awaited. It is expected to reach Mars' orbit during September 2014, when Mars shall be nearest to earth. It is then expected to come under Mars' gravitational influence and start orbiting around it.

There are many challenges surrounding this. First of all, the thrusts given to the orbiter has to be optimum, neither too less where in it would miss its rendezvous with Mars, nor too high where in it would overshoot and escape Mars' gravitational influence and go away from it. Secondly, the communications channel with the Mars Orbiter should not get lost as it happened, sadly, during Chandrayaan-1. In this mission, ISRO is venturing into deep space communications, navigation and control for the first time. It is going over its comfort level of launching satellites which remain in earth's orbit, or even for that matter, the moon whose average distance from earth is around 3,84,400 km. The distance between Mars and earth when they are closest to each other is 5,46,00,000 km, and at the farthest point, they are 40,10,00,000 km apart. This poses a huge challenge for maintaining contact and keeping the communications channel open between ISRO's earth based control station and the Mars Orbiter.


Why Mangalyaan?

Now that we are done with the nitty gritties of the Mangalyaan, let us focus on the meat of this post - why Mangalyaan?

Many argue that India should focus on alleviation of poverty, providing good sanitation and healthcare etc. than spend money on "sci-fi" projects like Mangalyaan. This argument appears to be logical and true at first glance. But, is it really that simple?

This is a beautifully written article debasing the prejudices against Mangalyaan. The author comes out with some excellent arguments. The main points are

  • Inspires children to take up a career in science, technology and research.
  • Can act as an organization which provides cheap launch capabilities for countries which want to launch satellites or anything else into space. 
  • India will benefit from the profits generated by charging fees to countries for this launch service provided.
  • Being a major player in space industry shall also provide more job opportunities for India's engineers.

All this talk of "testing our advancement in space technology" and "helping to contribute to human knowledge" is definitely inspiring and looks well-intentioned. But is this the main reason?

Colonization


We are all aware of the history of colonization by European nations after the industrial revolution. The main reasons cited for colonization is

  • Acquiring raw materials and minerals present in the colonized countries.
  • Making the colonized countries the new markets for the excessive goods produced by industries. 

Although political colonization has more or less come to an end, "economic colonization" is still in vogue. The erstwhile colonized countries have less industrial infrastructure, and less technological knowledge to kick start economic development on a large scale similar to the developed countries, i.e. erstwhile colonial powers. But they are a rich source of natural resources. Thus they end up inviting multinational companies from developed countries to set up industries in their land which make use of their natural resources and end up selling the finished products to the people of the same country at higher profits.

Without being further distracted by the features and nuances of neo-colonization, let me tell you why "colonization" is being discussed in a Mangalyaan article. 

When we look at the reasons for colonization, their relevance today and the extremely globalized world that we live in, we can easily say that there is enough market in the world today for selling manufactured goods. But there is a realistic concern for the lack of natural resources on the planet. 

So, where does one turn to for natural resources? 
The obvious answer - the untouched pristine lands of Antarctica and the shallow continental shelf of Arctic ocean. 

Quest For Natural Resources


Antarctica has been made untouchable for now, thanks to the farsightedness (or stupidity - depending on which side you're on) of the earlier world leaders. The Antarctic Treaty System (ATS) - the treaty system and framework under which all future treaties and pacts regarding Antarctica would take place - clearly states that the continent shall not be a military battlefield and the continent shall be used only for scientific and ecological studies. Though many centres have been set up for "scientific and ecological studies", one can safely assume that there is more to it than what meets the eye. They could be just bases with proper infrastructure being set up to get a foothold in Antarctica, so that if/when the race for natural resource extraction begins, one already has a headstart there. Indian Government became a signatory of ATS under Indira Gandhi in 1983 and set up a base in Antarctica, the "Dakshina Gangotri" in 1984. Since then, Dakshina Gangotri has been abandoned, and two more bases - Maitri and Bharati have been built.

Given the (lack of) funds and scientific technology that India had during the 1980's, one can only be suspicious of the intentions of India when it became a signatory to the ATS, particularly when, at the same period when India became a signatory, the issue of mining minerals in Antarctica was gaining momentum through the negotiations for CRAMRA (Convention on the Regulation of Antarctic Mineral Resource Activities). Along with India, around 20 other countries also became signatories at the same time, sensing the possible profits to be had. Alas, CRAMRA failed due to some stringent directives laid down by the founders of ATS. Under ATS, for any new activity to be allowed in Antarctica, all the ATS signatories have to approve it, and CRAMRA failed because Australia and France refused to approve it, coming under pressure from environmentalists. Hence, till date, mineral resource extraction in Antarctica is still forbidden under international laws.

Having burned their fingers in Antarctica, the world powers realised that atleast in the Arctic region, this should not be repeated. Hence, the premise for the Arctic Council was not based on the ideal of peace and non-disturbance of Arctic ecology, but to facilitate the claimant countries to crystallise their territorial claims in that region. So that in future,these same countries could start mineral extraction from the Arctic sea bed which is a rich source of minerals, especially oil, without much hassle. In today's world, where wars have already started for control of mineral resources (especially oil), this was but a natural course. Recently, India became an observer state in the Arctic council, obviously with an eye on exploiting the rich mineral resources that Arctic region has. In this article, Shyam Saran, a former chairman of National Security Advisory Board, makes no bones about the real interests of the powers that be in controlling the Arctic territory, and the interests of the observer states too. One feels it is just a matter of time before mineral extraction begins in a war footing in the Arctic region by these claimant powers, followed by a similar gold rush in Antarctica as well.


What after/apart from Arctic and Antarctica?

Human activities in the polar region is something the environmentalists are very much against. And not without good reason. The environmental and climatic backlash that could happen if the ice caps of Arctic ocean and Antarctica are tampered with have not been understood fully by mankind. If the mineral extraction activities in these regions result in some major calamities, one can assume that such activities would be quickly abandoned and not thought about again. 

But what about the burgeoning demand for energy and minerals by the ever increasing populace of this world? How would it be met? Step in, moon and Mars. And other planets and their moons too. Inter planetary mining would be much less controversial, as environmental concerns there would be of little consequence to earthlings. When the inevitable reduction in costs for space travel and transport happens in future, who would be getting a headstart in this race for colonization of other planets? Of course, the traditional space powers who led the world in developing space technology. And if Mangalyaan becomes a success, India would rightly be considered among the foremost leaders in space technology. Also, the countries who were forefront in space technology and helped in advancing it would have a "moral right", and hence, a precedence over other countries also eyeing these extra terrestrial resources. 

India missed boarding the Industrial Revolution train and the subsequent scientific and technological advancements. Colonization of India also led to it being pushed further behind in this race. India is facing the consequences today - it is still a developing country. But the leaders of post-independence India have rightly encouraged the space program, so that when the next important train - the inter-spatial technological revolution - comes in, we not only board it, but be one of the engines driving it.  


Conscience

The dark dungeons of my heart,
Have started whispering again,
Of sins, of my haunted past,
Of the bloody unwashed stain.

I ran from it, from pole to pole,
To leave it far behind.
But it chases me, with mocking glee,
To pay me back in kind.

The skeletons of my shady past
Scream at me again
The grim murals of the dungeon walls
Are driving me insane

When darkness descends on the heart,
The horror slowly unfolds
Film by film, my sins of yore,
The heart dreadfully beholds

One can fool the world around
But none can fool the self
It wounds and hurts, kills your peace,
And none shall come for help.